Arouca vs Guimaraes: result 0-2 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 13Kick-off on December 15, 2013 at 04:15 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca
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What was the result of Arouca vs Guimaraes?
Guimaraes won 0-2 on December 15, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 28′TómanéGuimaraes
- 41′Leonel OlímpioGuimaraes (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, Arouca have 2 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Guimaraes have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2013 | Benfica(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 1, 2013 | Maritimo(home) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 24, 2013 | Vitoria Setubal(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 3, 2013 | Pacos Ferreira(home) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 26, 2013 | Olhanense(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2013 | Belenenses(home) | 0-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 2, 2013 | Estoril(away) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 24, 2013 | Sporting CP(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 3, 2013 | GIL Vicente(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Oct 28, 2013 | Pacos Ferreira(away) | 3-1 | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Arouca score 0.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 12; Guimaraes score 0.9 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arouca | 0.7 | 1.4 | 4 | 5/12 | 5/12 |
| Guimaraes | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arouca sit 5th in Primeira Liga (6 points from 3 matches) and Guimaraes sit 9th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Arouca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 9 | Guimaraes | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy