Arouca vs Guimaraes: result 0-1 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 23, 2016 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca
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What was the result of Arouca vs Guimaraes?
Guimaraes won 0-1 on December 23, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 80′HernâniGuimaraes
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arouca have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Guimaraes have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2016 | Moreirense(away) | 4-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 12, 2016 | Rio Ave(home) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 4, 2016 | Feirense(away) | 2-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 27, 2016 | Pacos Ferreira(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 6, 2016 | Sporting CP(away) | 0-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2016 | Vitoria Setubal(home) | 3-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 15, 2016 | Vilafranquense(home) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Dec 10, 2016 | Boavista(away) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 4, 2016 | Chaves(home) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 27, 2016 | Tondela(away) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Arouca win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Guimaraes win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2016 | Arouca 2-2 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 9, 2016 | Guimaraes 2-2 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 3, 2015 | Guimaraes 1-0 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 7, 2014 | Arouca 1-2 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 17, 2014 | Guimaraes 2-3 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 15, 2013 | Arouca 0-2 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Arouca score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Guimaraes score 1.9 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arouca | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Guimaraes | 1.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arouca sit 4th in Primeira Liga (6 points from 2 matches) and Guimaraes sit 9th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Arouca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Guimaraes | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy