Arouca vs U. Madeira: result 1-0 and analysis
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 1, 2017 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca
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What was the result of Arouca vs U. Madeira?
Arouca won 1-0 on November 1, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 10′AreiasArouca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arouca have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; U. Madeira have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2017 | Academica(away) | 1-4 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 22, 2017 | GIL Vicente(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 15, 2017 | Coruchense(home) | 3-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 30, 2017 | SC Covilha(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 24, 2017 | Sacavenense(away) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2017 | Oliveirense(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 22, 2017 | Benfica B(away) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 15, 2017 | Oriental Lisboa(home) | 3-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 30, 2017 | Penafiel(home) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 27, 2017 | Guimaraes B(away) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Arouca win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 U. Madeira win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2016 | Arouca 3-0 U. Madeira | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 20, 2015 | U. Madeira 0-0 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Arouca score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; U. Madeira score 1.6 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arouca | 0.9 | 1.2 | 8 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
| U. Madeira | 1.6 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy