Arouca vs Vila Real: result 1-0 and analysis
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group BGroup B - 11Kick-off on November 17, 2019 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca
Full time
What was the result of Arouca vs Vila Real?
Arouca won 1-0 on November 17, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 45′Fábio FortesArouca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arouca have 11 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Vila Real have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2019 | Castro Daire(away) | 0-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Nov 3, 2019 | Leça(home) | 3-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Oct 27, 2019 | Ginásio Figueirense(away) | 2-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Oct 20, 2019 | Merelinense(home) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 13, 2019 | Gondomar(home) | 1-0 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2019 | Paredes(home) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Nov 1, 2019 | Felgueiras 1932(away) | 2-3 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Oct 27, 2019 | Amarante(home) | 0-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Oct 13, 2019 | Canelas 2010(away) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Oct 5, 2019 | Valadares Gaia(home) | 1-2 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
How many goals should we expect?
Arouca score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Vila Real score 0.8 and concede 2.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arouca | 2.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Vila Real | 0.8 | 2.3 | 0 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy