Arsenal Tivat vs Grbalj: prediction and stats
CupRound of 16Kick-off on October 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion u Parku, Tivat
The Footlab AI model makes Arsenal Tivat the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Grbalj. The most likely score is 1-1. If Arsenal Tivat wins, the most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arsenal Tivat vs Grbalj?
On Elo ratings, Arsenal Tivat has 1,417 points and Grbalj 1,362.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Arsenal Tivat vs Grbalj
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Arsenal Tivat
4-3-3- 9I. Vukčević
- 23Y. S. Sesay
- 16V. Kašćelan
- 8I. Šahman
- 88Abdulsamed Ahmed Abdullahi
- 15P. Malisic
- 5G. PetoviÄ
- 13Z. Mikijelj
- 27A. Kralj
- 26M. Zivanovic
- 1B. Zogović
Grbalj
4-3-3- 9Sinisa Stanisavic
- 21Stefan Cadenovic
- 20Y. S. Sesay
- 15Shunya Ueda
- 14S. Djuricic
- 7L. Pajovic
- 2Nebojsa Obradovic
- 3Nemanja Petrovic
- 5Matija Pejovic
- 23P. Sklender
- 1V. Vujovic
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:03 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arsenal Tivat have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Grbalj have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sutjeska(home) | 0-2 | First League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Petrovac(away) | 2-1 | First League |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Mladost DG(home) | 0-1 | First League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Jezero(away) | 2-5 | First League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Otrant-Olympic(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Zeta(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Iskra(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Rudar(home) | 3-1 | Second League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Berane(home) | 3-0 | Second League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Lovćen(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Arsenal Tivat wins, 1 draw, 1 Grbalj win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2022 | Arsenal Tivat 5-3 Grbalj | Second League |
| Apr 9, 2022 | Grbalj 0-1 Arsenal Tivat | Second League |
| Dec 8, 2021 | Arsenal Tivat 0-0 Grbalj | Second League |
| Oct 9, 2021 | Grbalj 0-2 Arsenal Tivat | Second League |
| May 12, 2021 | Grbalj 2-1 Arsenal Tivat | Second League |
| Mar 31, 2021 | Arsenal Tivat 2-1 Grbalj | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Arsenal Tivat vs Grbalj on May 24, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Arsenal Tivat score 0.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Grbalj score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal Tivat | 0.8 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Grbalj | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Arsenal Tivat vs Grbalj?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arsenal Tivat vs Grbalj?
- The Footlab AI model makes Arsenal Tivat the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Grbalj.
- Where and when is Arsenal Tivat vs Grbalj played?
- Arsenal Tivat vs Grbalj is played on October 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion u Parku, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.