Sutjeska vs Dečić: prediction and stats
CupRound of 16Kick-off on October 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Kraj Bistrice, Nikšić
The Footlab AI model makes Sutjeska the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Dečić. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sutjeska wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sutjeska vs Dečić?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Sutjeska (1,576) and Dečić (1,521).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sutjeska vs Dečić
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sutjeska
4-3-3- 10B. Tošković
- 11V. Čavor
- 7A. Boljević
- 6D. Hočko
- 2A. Golubović
- 77M. Šimun
- 72A. Babić
- 15B. Kopitović
- 22A. Ražnatović
- 4M. Vračar
- 12T. Durovic
Dečić
4-3-3- 11U. Djuranovic
- 10M. Đokaj
- 9I. Camaj
- 27D. Kontić
- 16M. Božanović
- 74Petar Pavlićević
- 29N. Braunović
- 15P. Ljuljdjuraj
- 22J. Drešaj
- 17L. Ujkaj
- 25D. Radošević
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 09:16 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sutjeska have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Dečić have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Buducnost Podgorica(away) | 0-0 | First League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Arsenal Tivat(away) | 2-0 | First League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Dečić(home) | 2-0 | First League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Mornar(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Petrovac(away) | 0-0 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Mornar(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sutjeska(away) | 0-2 | First League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Petrovac(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Mladost DG(away) | 0-2 | First League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Jezero(home) | 2-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Sutjeska wins, 0 draws, 2 Dečić wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sutjeska 2-0 Dečić | First League |
| May 16, 2026 | Sutjeska 3-0 Dečić | First League |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Dečić 1-2 Sutjeska | First League |
| Nov 26, 2025 | Dečić 2-1 Sutjeska | Cup |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Sutjeska 3-1 Dečić | First League |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Dečić 3-1 Sutjeska | First League |
How many goals should we expect?
Sutjeska score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Dečić score 0.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sutjeska | 0.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Dečić | 0.9 | 1.0 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Sutjeska vs Dečić?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sutjeska vs Dečić?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sutjeska the favourite at 50%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Dečić.
- Where and when is Sutjeska vs Dečić played?
- Sutjeska vs Dečić is played on October 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Kraj Bistrice, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.