Match

Arsenal U21 vs Chelsea U21: prediction and stats

Premier League 2 Division OneRegular SeasonKick-off on September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Colney Training Centre, Colney, Norfolk

Arsenal U21Chelsea U21

The Footlab model makes Chelsea U21 the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Arsenal U21. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arsenal U21 vs Chelsea U21?

A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Arsenal U21 (1,780) and Chelsea U21 (1,871).

Arsenal U21 win34 %
Draw25 %
Chelsea U21 win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arsenal U21 have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Chelsea U21 have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arsenal U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Crystal Palace U21(home)1-1Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026Barnet(away)1-5EFL Trophy
Apr 25, 2026Manchester City U21(away)1-3Premier League 2 Division One
Apr 13, 2026Crystal Palace U21(away)0-2Premier League 2 Division One
Apr 4, 2026West Bromwich Albion U21(home)1-0Premier League 2 Division One
Chelsea U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026AFC Bournemouth U21(away)1-2Premier League 2 Division One
Jul 21, 2026Cardiff City U21(home)0-0Friendlies Clubs
May 1, 2026Tottenham Hotspur U21(home)1-3Premier League 2 Division One
Apr 25, 2026Middlesbrough U21(home)1-0Premier League 2 Division One
Apr 10, 2026Fulham U21(away)1-2Premier League 2 Division One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Arsenal U21 win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Chelsea U21 win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 25, 2025Chelsea U21 2-1 Arsenal U21Premier League 2 Division One
Nov 1, 2024Chelsea U21 2-1 Arsenal U21Premier League 2 Division One
May 11, 2024Arsenal U21 2-3 Chelsea U21Premier League 2 Division One
Mar 1, 2024Chelsea U21 2-4 Arsenal U21Premier League 2 Division One
Feb 27, 2023Chelsea U21 1-0 Arsenal U21Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 20, 2022Arsenal U21 4-1 Chelsea U21Premier League 2 Division One

Last archived meeting: Chelsea U21 vs Arsenal U21 on Oct 25, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Arsenal U21 score 1.2 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Chelsea U21 score 2.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Arsenal U211.22.057/158/15
Chelsea U212.21.468/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Arsenal U21 sit 7th in Premier League 2 Division One (1 points from 1 matches) and Chelsea U21 sit 29th (0 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Arsenal U211010111
29Chelsea U211001120

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arsenal U21 vs Chelsea U21?
The Footlab model makes Chelsea U21 the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Arsenal U21.
Where and when is Arsenal U21 vs Chelsea U21 played?
Arsenal U21 vs Chelsea U21 is played on September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Colney Training Centre, in the Premier League 2 Division One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Arsenal U21 and Chelsea U21

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