Where and when is Arsenal U21 vs Leeds United U21 played?

Arsenal U21 vs Leeds United U21 is played on March 12, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Colney Training Centre, in the Premier League 2 Division One.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Arsenal U21 vs Leeds United U21: prediction and stats

Premier League 2 Division OneRegular SeasonKick-off on March 12, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Colney Training Centre, Colney, Norfolk

Arsenal U21

Leeds United U21

The Footlab model makes Arsenal U21 the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Leeds United U21. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arsenal U21 vs Leeds United U21?

A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Arsenal U21 (1,781) and Leeds United U21 (1,730).

Arsenal U21 win50 %

Draw23 %

Leeds United U21 win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arsenal U21 have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Leeds United U21 have 2, 2 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arsenal U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Crystal Palace U21(home)	1-1	Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026	Barnet(away)	1-5	EFL Trophy
Apr 25, 2026	Manchester City U21(away)	1-3	Premier League 2 Division One
Apr 13, 2026	Crystal Palace U21(away)	0-2	Premier League 2 Division One
Apr 4, 2026	West Bromwich Albion U21(home)	1-0	Premier League 2 Division One

Leeds United U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	West Bromwich Albion U21(home)	4-3	Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026	Boreham Wood(away)	2-5	National League Cup
Aug 14, 2026	Stoke City U21(away)	0-0	Premier League Cup
Apr 13, 2026	Leicester City U21(home)	2-3	Premier League 2 Division One
Apr 3, 2026	Manchester United U21(home)	1-2	Premier League 2 Division One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Arsenal U21 win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Leeds United U21 win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 1, 2026	Leeds United U21 0-4 Arsenal U21	Premier League 2 Division One
Feb 9, 2024	Arsenal U21 1-1 Leeds United U21	Premier League 2 Division One

Last archived meeting: Leeds United U21 vs Arsenal U21 on Feb 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Arsenal U21 score 1.2 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Leeds United U21 score 1.1 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Arsenal U21	1.2	2.0	5	7/15	8/15
Leeds United U21	1.1	2.5	2	9/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Arsenal U21 sit 7th in Premier League 2 Division One (1 points from 1 matches) and Leeds United U21 sit 2nd (3 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Leeds United U21	1	1	0	0	4	3	3
7	Arsenal U21	1	0	1	0	1	1	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arsenal U21 vs Leeds United U21?: The Footlab model makes Arsenal U21 the favourite at 50%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Leeds United U21.
Where and when is Arsenal U21 vs Leeds United U21 played?: Arsenal U21 vs Leeds United U21 is played on March 12, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Colney Training Centre, in the Premier League 2 Division One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.