Liverpool U21 vs Arsenal U21: prediction and stats
Premier League 2 Division OneRegular SeasonKick-off on March 20, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Liverpool’s Academy Ground, Knowsley, Merseyside
The Footlab model makes Liverpool U21 the favourite at 50%, against 21% for a draw and 29% for Arsenal U21. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Liverpool U21 vs Arsenal U21?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Liverpool U21 (1,789) and Arsenal U21 (1,770).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Liverpool U21 have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Arsenal U21 have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Everton U21(away) | 1-1 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cardiff City U21(home) | 3-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Crystal Palace U21(home) | 2-2 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Crystal Palace U21(home) | 1-5 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Mar 16, 2026 | Manchester City U21(away) | 0-2 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Crystal Palace U21(home) | 1-1 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Barnet(away) | 1-5 | EFL Trophy |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Manchester City U21(away) | 1-3 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Crystal Palace U21(away) | 0-2 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Apr 4, 2026 | West Bromwich Albion U21(home) | 1-0 | Premier League 2 Division One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Liverpool U21 win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Arsenal U21 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Liverpool U21 7-0 Arsenal U21 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Sep 27, 2024 | Arsenal U21 0-3 Liverpool U21 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Liverpool U21 0-2 Arsenal U21 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Mar 6, 2023 | Arsenal U21 0-1 Liverpool U21 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Oct 1, 2022 | Liverpool U21 1-1 Arsenal U21 | Premier League 2 Division One |
Last archived meeting: Liverpool U21 vs Arsenal U21 on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Liverpool U21 score 2.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Arsenal U21 score 1.2 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool U21 | 2.6 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Arsenal U21 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Liverpool U21 sit 15th in Premier League 2 Division One (1 points from 1 matches) and Arsenal U21 sit 12th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Arsenal U21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 15 | Liverpool U21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Liverpool U21 vs Arsenal U21?
- The Footlab model makes Liverpool U21 the favourite at 50%, against 21% for a draw and 29% for Arsenal U21.
- Where and when is Liverpool U21 vs Arsenal U21 played?
- Liverpool U21 vs Arsenal U21 is played on March 20, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Liverpool’s Academy Ground, in the Premier League 2 Division One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 21, 2026Aston Villa U212-1Brighton U21
- Aug 21, 2026Fulham U214-3Burnley U21
- Aug 21, 2026Everton U211-1Liverpool U21
- Aug 21, 2026West Ham United U210-0Southampton U21
- Aug 21, 2026Stoke City U212-3Brentford U21
- Aug 21, 2026AFC Bournemouth U212-1Chelsea U21
- Aug 21, 2026Leicester City U21vsBlackburn Rovers U21
- Aug 22, 2026Arsenal U211-1Crystal Palace U21