Arsenal vs AC Milan: result 3-1 and analysis
UEFA Europa League8th FinalsKick-off on March 15, 2018 at 08:05 PM (UTC)Emirates Stadium, London
Full time
What was the result of Arsenal vs AC Milan?
Arsenal won 3-1 on March 15, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 35′H. ÇalhanoğluAC Milan
- 39′D. WelbeckArsenal (pen.)
- 71′G. XhakaArsenal
- 86′D. WelbeckArsenal
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arsenal have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; AC Milan have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2018 | Watford(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Mar 8, 2018 | AC Milan(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Mar 4, 2018 | Brighton(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Mar 1, 2018 | Manchester City(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Feb 25, 2018 | Manchester City(home) | 0-3 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2018 | Genoa(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Mar 8, 2018 | Arsenal(home) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Feb 28, 2018 | Lazio(away) | 0-0 | Coppa Italia |
| Feb 25, 2018 | AS Roma(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Feb 22, 2018 | Ludogorets(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Arsenal win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 AC Milan win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2018 | AC Milan 0-2 Arsenal | UEFA Europa League |
| Mar 6, 2012 | Arsenal 3-0 AC Milan | UEFA Champions League |
| Feb 15, 2012 | AC Milan 4-0 Arsenal | UEFA Champions League |
How many goals should we expect?
Arsenal score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; AC Milan score 1.3 and concede 0.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| AC Milan | 1.3 | 0.4 | 10 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy