Arsenal vs Brighton: result 1-3 and analysis
League Cup3rd RoundKick-off on November 9, 2022 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Emirates Stadium, London
Full time
What was the result of Arsenal vs Brighton?
Brighton won 1-3 on November 9, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 20′E. NketiahArsenal
- 27′D. WelbeckBrighton (pen.)
- 58′K. MitomaBrighton
- 71′T. LampteyBrighton
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arsenal have 12 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Brighton have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2022 | Chelsea(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Nov 3, 2022 | FC Zurich(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 30, 2022 | Nottingham Forest(home) | 5-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 27, 2022 | PSV Eindhoven(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 23, 2022 | Southampton(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2022 | Wolves(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 29, 2022 | Chelsea(home) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 22, 2022 | Manchester City(away) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2022 | Nottingham Forest(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 14, 2022 | Brentford(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Arsenal win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Brighton win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2022 | Arsenal 1-2 Brighton | Premier League |
| Oct 2, 2021 | Brighton 0-0 Arsenal | Premier League |
| May 23, 2021 | Arsenal 2-0 Brighton | Premier League |
| Dec 29, 2020 | Brighton 0-1 Arsenal | Premier League |
| Jun 20, 2020 | Brighton 2-1 Arsenal | Premier League |
| Dec 5, 2019 | Arsenal 1-2 Brighton | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Arsenal score 1.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Brighton score 2.0 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 1.9 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Brighton | 2.0 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy