Burnley vs Crawley Town: result 3-1 and analysis
League Cup3rd RoundKick-off on November 8, 2022 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Turf Moor, Burnley
Full time
What was the result of Burnley vs Crawley Town?
Burnley won 3-1 on November 8, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 22′D. TelfordCrawley Town
- 24′A. BarnesBurnley
- 79′A. ZarouryBurnley
- 90′A. ZarouryBurnley
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Burnley have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Crawley Town have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2022 | Sheffield Utd(away) | 2-5 | Championship |
| Nov 2, 2022 | Rotherham(home) | 3-2 | Championship |
| Oct 29, 2022 | Reading(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Oct 25, 2022 | Norwich(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Oct 22, 2022 | Sunderland(away) | 4-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2022 | Accrington ST(home) | 1-4 | FA Cup |
| Oct 29, 2022 | Bradford(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 25, 2022 | Colchester(away) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Oct 22, 2022 | Mansfield Town(home) | 3-2 | League Two |
| Oct 18, 2022 | Aston Villa U21(home) | 5-2 | EFL Trophy |
How many goals should we expect?
Burnley score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Crawley Town score 1.7 and concede 2.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 2.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
| Crawley Town | 1.7 | 2.1 | 0 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy