Arzachena vs Lucchese: result 1-2 and analysis
Serie C - Girone ARegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 18, 2017 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Biagio Pirina, Arzachena
Full time
What was the result of Arzachena vs Lucchese?
Lucchese won 1-2 on November 18, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 15′A. CurcioArzachena
- 33′Iacopo FanucchiLucchese (pen.)
- 83′Iacopo FanucchiLucchese
Official lineup for Arzachena vs Lucchese
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Arzachena
- 9M. Vano
- 10A. Curcio
- 21G. Lisai
- 3L. La Rosa
- 14R. Casini
- 8G. Nuvoli
- 11A. Sanna
- 25I. Baldanzeddu
- 6D. Piroli
- 18C. Arboleda
- 1M. Ruzittu
Lucchese
- 7Mario Merlonghi
- 10Iacopo Fanucchi
- 18Alessandro De Vena
- 4T. Arrigoni
- 24Antonio Cardore
- 2C. Tavanti
- 3L. Cecchini
- 5M. Maini
- 19M. Espeche
- 25Antonio Magli
- 22Marco Albertoni
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 13 matches in all competitions, Arzachena have 6 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Lucchese have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2017 | Prato(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Nov 5, 2017 | Cuneo(away) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 29, 2017 | Olbia(home) | 3-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 22, 2017 | Carrarese(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 15, 2017 | Alessandria(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2017 | Alessandria(home) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Nov 8, 2017 | Prato(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Nov 3, 2017 | Viterbese(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 29, 2017 | Carrarese(home) | 3-2 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 22, 2017 | Gavorrano(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Arzachena score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 13; Lucchese score 1.1 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arzachena | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/13 | 9/13 |
| Lucchese | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 13 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy