Match

Mezzolara vs Lucchese: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 14Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Pietro Zucchini, Budrio

MezzolaraLucchese

The Footlab AI model makes Lucchese the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Mezzolara. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lucchese wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mezzolara vs Lucchese?

Lucchese starts as the favourite with a 191-point Elo edge (1,755 vs 1,565).

28%29%43%
Mezzolara winDrawLucchese win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Mezzolara vs Lucchese

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Mezzolara

Not enough data to predict the Mezzolara lineup.

Lucchese

4-3-3
  1. 9S. Magnaghi
  2. 70E. Saporiti
  3. 10A. Selvini
  1. 21E. Visconti
  2. 27R. Gucher
  3. 96G. Galli
  1. 5S. Benedetti
  2. 29E. Antoni
  3. 30A. Gemignani
  4. 3N. Rizzo
  1. 59R. Melgrati

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 02:54 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mezzolara have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Lucchese have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mezzolara
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Sasso Marconi Zola(home)2-2Serie D - Girone E
Oct 4, 2026San Donato Tavarnelle(away)1-1Serie D - Girone E
Sep 27, 2026Grassina(home)0-0Serie D - Girone E
Sep 20, 2026Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano(away)1-1Serie D - Girone E
Sep 16, 2026Ternana(home)2-1Serie D - Girone E
Lucchese
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Ternana(home)2-2Serie D - Girone E
Oct 7, 2026Seravezza(away)1-1Coppa Italia Serie D
Oct 4, 2026Grassina(away)6-3Serie D - Girone E
Sep 27, 2026Robur Siena(home)3-2Serie D - Girone E
Sep 20, 2026Rondinella(away)0-0Serie D - Girone E

How many goals should we expect?

Mezzolara score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Lucchese score 2.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Mezzolara0.91.547/158/15
Lucchese2.11.8410/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mezzolara sit 13th in Serie D - Girone E (7 points from 6 matches) and Lucchese sit 3rd (13 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Lucchese6411161113
13Mezzolara6141467

A question about Mezzolara vs Lucchese?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mezzolara vs Lucchese?
The Footlab AI model makes Lucchese the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Mezzolara.
Where and when is Mezzolara vs Lucchese played?
Mezzolara vs Lucchese is played on November 29, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Pietro Zucchini, in the Serie D - Girone E.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Mezzolara and Lucchese

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