Match

AS New Soger vs Simba: prediction and stats

Ligue 1Regular Season - 16Kick-off on January 27, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)

AS New SogerSimba

The Footlab AI model makes Simba the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for AS New Soger. The most likely score is 1-1. If Simba wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,456 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win AS New Soger vs Simba?

Simba starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,640 vs 1,527).

28%30%42%
AS New Soger winDrawSimba win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for AS New Soger vs Simba

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

AS New Soger

Not enough data to predict the AS New Soger lineup.

Simba

Not enough data to predict the Simba lineup.

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 12:56 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AS New Soger have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Simba have 2, 5 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

AS New Soger
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 10, 2026Groupe Bazano(away)1-3Ligue 1
Apr 2, 2026Saint Eloi Lupopo(away)1-4Ligue 1
Mar 30, 2026FC Tshikas(home)1-1Ligue 1
Mar 22, 2026Lubumbashi Sport(home)4-2Ligue 1
Mar 18, 2026Tanganyika(home)0-1Ligue 1
Simba
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 20, 2026Maniema Union(home)2-1Ligue 1
Jun 17, 2026Vita Club(home)0-0Ligue 1
Jun 14, 2026JSK(away)0-1Ligue 1
Jun 10, 2026Céleste(away)1-1Ligue 1
Jun 6, 2026Saint Eloi Lupopo(home)0-3Ligue 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 AS New Soger wins, 0 draws, 2 Simba wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 21, 2026Simba 1-0 AS New SogerLigue 1
Oct 30, 2025AS New Soger 0-1 SimbaLigue 1

Last archived meeting: Simba vs AS New Soger on Jan 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

AS New Soger score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Simba score 0.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
AS New Soger1.01.337/154/15
Simba0.61.335/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

AS New Soger sit 12th in Ligue 1 (33 points from 30 matches) and Simba sit 4th (50 points from 30 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Simba301488332750
12AS New Soger309615294033

A question about AS New Soger vs Simba?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for AS New Soger vs Simba?
The Footlab AI model makes Simba the favourite at 42%, against 30% for a draw and 28% for AS New Soger.
Where and when is AS New Soger vs Simba played?
AS New Soger vs Simba is played on January 27, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC), in the Ligue 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: AS New Soger and Simba

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