Match

TP Mazembe vs Saint Eloi Lupopo: prediction and stats

Ligue 1Regular Season - 16Kick-off on January 28, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade du TP Mazembe, Lubumbashi

TP MazembeSaint Eloi Lupopo

The Footlab AI model makes TP Mazembe the favourite at 50%, against 32% for a draw and 18% for Saint Eloi Lupopo. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 4,870 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win TP Mazembe vs Saint Eloi Lupopo?

TP Mazembe starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,948 vs 1,835).

50%32%18%
TP Mazembe winDrawSaint Eloi Lupopo win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for TP Mazembe vs Saint Eloi Lupopo

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

TP Mazembe

4-3-3
  1. 20B. Beenga
  2. 13Cheick Oumar Abdallah Fofana
  3. 27G. Mujaya
  1. 28Jean Louis Barthelemy Diouf
  2. 11M. Ngimbi
  3. 17B. Ngalamulume
  1. 5A. Zon
  2. 26A. Fabrice
  3. 37P. Mwamba
  4. 30Christian Ibwa Ise
  1. 33A. Faty

Saint Eloi Lupopo

4-2-3-1
  1. 40R. Wanet
  1. 26J. Mendy
  2. 24D. Kambou
  3. 10J. Mavungu
  4. 5J. B. Tukumbane
  5. 27M. Miché
  1. 32I. Mpeko
  2. 6Joseph Yaovi Douhadji
  3. 3J. Nekadio
  4. 12M. Kimputu
  1. 30S. Omossola

Computed on November 8, 2026 at 01:49 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TP Mazembe have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Saint Eloi Lupopo have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

TP Mazembe
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 25, 2026Club Africain(away)0-1CAF Champions League
Oct 17, 2026Club Africain(home)1-1CAF Champions League
Sep 12, 2026Medeama(home)3-1CAF Champions League
Sep 6, 2026Medeama(away)1-0CAF Champions League
Jun 20, 2026Céleste(home)2-0Ligue 1
Saint Eloi Lupopo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 26, 2026Butras(away)2-0Ligue 1
Oct 20, 2026AS New Soger(home)0-0Ligue 1
Jun 20, 2026Vita Club(home)1-0Ligue 1
Jun 17, 2026Céleste(home)1-1Ligue 1
Jun 14, 2026TP Mazembe(away)0-0Ligue 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 TP Mazembe wins, 3 draws, 3 Saint Eloi Lupopo wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 14, 2026TP Mazembe 0-0 Saint Eloi LupopoLigue 1
May 5, 2026Saint Eloi Lupopo 2-1 TP MazembeLigue 1
Nov 2, 2025Saint Eloi Lupopo 2-1 TP MazembeLigue 1
Jun 24, 2025Saint Eloi Lupopo 1-1 TP MazembeLigue 1
May 8, 2025TP Mazembe 0-1 Saint Eloi LupopoLigue 1
Feb 23, 2025TP Mazembe 0-0 Saint Eloi LupopoLigue 1

Last archived meeting: TP Mazembe vs Saint Eloi Lupopo on Jun 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

TP Mazembe score 1.7 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Saint Eloi Lupopo score 0.8 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 27% probability of over 2.5 goals and 32% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
TP Mazembe1.70.595/156/15
Saint Eloi Lupopo0.80.593/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Saint Eloi Lupopo2110204

A question about TP Mazembe vs Saint Eloi Lupopo?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for TP Mazembe vs Saint Eloi Lupopo?
The Footlab AI model makes TP Mazembe the favourite at 50%, against 32% for a draw and 18% for Saint Eloi Lupopo.
Where and when is TP Mazembe vs Saint Eloi Lupopo played?
TP Mazembe vs Saint Eloi Lupopo is played on January 28, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade du TP Mazembe, in the Ligue 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 27% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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