AS New Soger vs TP Mazembe: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Matchday 13Kick-off on December 23, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes TP Mazembe the favourite at 68%, against 24% for a draw and 8% for AS New Soger. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,527 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AS New Soger vs TP Mazembe?
TP Mazembe is a heavy favourite: 1,945 Elo points against 1,532, a 413-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AS New Soger vs TP Mazembe
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AS New Soger
Not enough data to predict the AS New Soger lineup.
TP Mazembe
4-3-3- 20B. Beenga
- 13Cheick Oumar Abdallah Fofana
- 27G. Mujaya
- 28Jean Louis Barthelemy Diouf
- 11M. Ngimbi
- 17B. Ngalamulume
- 5A. Zon
- 26A. Fabrice
- 37P. Mwamba
- 30Christian Ibwa Ise
- 33A. Faty
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 08:54 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AS New Soger have 1 win, 7 draws and 7 defeats; TP Mazembe have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2026 | Tanganyika(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 5, 2026 | CS Manika(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Simba(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Don Bosco(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Saint Eloi Lupopo(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Saint Eloi Lupopo(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Club Africain(away) | 0-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Club Africain(home) | 1-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Medeama(home) | 3-1 | CAF Champions League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Medeama(away) | 1-0 | CAF Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 AS New Soger wins, 1 draw, 0 TP Mazembe wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2025 | TP Mazembe 0-0 AS New Soger | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: TP Mazembe vs AS New Soger on Nov 16, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
AS New Soger score 0.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; TP Mazembe score 1.4 and concede 0.4. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 28% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS New Soger | 0.6 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| TP Mazembe | 1.4 | 0.4 | 10 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AS New Soger sit 10th in Ligue 1 (3 points from 4 matches) and TP Mazembe sit 13th (1 point from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | AS New Soger | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | TP Mazembe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
A question about AS New Soger vs TP Mazembe?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AS New Soger vs TP Mazembe?
- The Footlab AI model makes TP Mazembe the favourite at 68%, against 24% for a draw and 8% for AS New Soger.
- Where and when is AS New Soger vs TP Mazembe played?
- AS New Soger vs TP Mazembe is played on December 23, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.