Sanga Balende vs Simba: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 13Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade Kashala Bonzola, Mbuji-Mayi
The Footlab AI model makes Simba the favourite at 37%, against 33% for a draw and 30% for Sanga Balende. The most likely score is 0-0. If Simba wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sanga Balende vs Simba?
A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Sanga Balende (1,546) and Simba (1,641).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sanga Balende vs Simba
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sanga Balende
Not enough data to predict the Sanga Balende lineup.
Simba
Not enough data to predict the Simba lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 08:22 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sanga Balende have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Simba have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2026 | Malole(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Tanganyika(away) | 1-3 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Tshinkunku(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Simba(home) | 0-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | AS New Soger(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | Maniema Union(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Vita Club(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | JSK(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Céleste(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Saint Eloi Lupopo(home) | 0-3 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sanga Balende win, 1 draw, 4 Simba wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Sanga Balende 0-2 Simba | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 17, 2025 | Simba 1-0 Sanga Balende | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 10, 2025 | Simba 1-0 Sanga Balende | Ligue 1 |
| May 11, 2025 | Sanga Balende 1-1 Simba | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 13, 2025 | Sanga Balende 1-0 Simba | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Simba 3-0 Sanga Balende | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Sanga Balende vs Simba on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sanga Balende score 0.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Simba score 0.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 30% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sanga Balende | 0.8 | 1.2 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Simba | 0.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sanga Balende sit 9th in Ligue 1 (36 points from 30 matches) and Simba sit 4th (50 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Simba | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 27 | 50 |
| 9 | Sanga Balende | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 34 | 36 |
A question about Sanga Balende vs Simba?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sanga Balende vs Simba?
- The Footlab AI model makes Simba the favourite at 37%, against 33% for a draw and 30% for Sanga Balende.
- Where and when is Sanga Balende vs Simba played?
- Sanga Balende vs Simba is played on December 20, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Kashala Bonzola, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 30% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.