Match

AS Penarol vs Cheminots: prediction and stats

Ligue 1Matchday 3Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)

AS PenarolCheminots

The Footlab AI model makes AS Penarol the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Cheminots. The most likely score is 1-1. If AS Penarol wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,570 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win AS Penarol vs Cheminots?

A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate AS Penarol (1,455) and Cheminots (1,413).

35%31%34%
AS Penarol winDrawCheminots win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for AS Penarol vs Cheminots

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

AS Penarol

Not enough data to predict the AS Penarol lineup.

Cheminots

Not enough data to predict the Cheminots lineup.

Computed on November 13, 2026 at 03:27 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 7 matches in all competitions, AS Penarol have 1 win, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Cheminots have 4, 7 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

AS Penarol
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Mar 21, 2025Otôho d'Oyo(away)0-5Ligue 1
Mar 16, 2025JS Talangaï(home)1-3Ligue 1
Mar 12, 2025Inter Club(away)0-3Ligue 1
Mar 7, 2025Racine(away)0-0Ligue 1
Mar 2, 2025Jeunesse Unie de Kintélé(home)3-1Ligue 1
Cheminots
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 2, 2024Léopards de Dolisié(home)1-0Ligue 1
May 25, 2024Jeunesse Unie de Kintélé(home)0-1Ligue 1
May 19, 2024Inter Club(away)2-2Ligue 1
May 11, 2024Nathaly's(home)0-0Ligue 1
May 5, 2024Diables Noirs(away)3-0Ligue 1

How many goals should we expect?

AS Penarol score 0.7 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 7; Cheminots score 0.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
AS Penarol0.72.613/76/7
Cheminots0.80.984/155/15

Over the last 7 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2024 season.

Final 2024 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Cheminots1001030

A question about AS Penarol vs Cheminots?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for AS Penarol vs Cheminots?
The Footlab AI model makes AS Penarol the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Cheminots.
Where and when is AS Penarol vs Cheminots played?
AS Penarol vs Cheminots is played on December 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Ligue 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: AS Penarol and Cheminots