Cheminots vs Nathaly's: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Matchday 4Kick-off on December 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Complexe Sportif de Pointe-Noire, Pointe-Noire
The Footlab AI model makes Cheminots the favourite at 43%, against 31% for a draw and 26% for Nathaly's. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,570 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cheminots vs Nathaly's?
A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Cheminots (1,413) and Nathaly's (1,315).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cheminots vs Nathaly's
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cheminots
Not enough data to predict the Cheminots lineup.
Nathaly's
Not enough data to predict the Nathaly's lineup.
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 03:31 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cheminots have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Nathaly's have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2, 2024 | Léopards de Dolisié(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 25, 2024 | Jeunesse Unie de Kintélé(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| May 19, 2024 | Inter Club(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| May 11, 2024 | Nathaly's(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| May 5, 2024 | Diables Noirs(away) | 3-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | Nico-Nicoyé(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Inter Club Pointe Noire(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Club Des Jeunes(home) | 5-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 22, 2025 | ACJM de Pointe-Noire(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 9, 2025 | St-Michel Madingou(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Cheminots win, 5 draws, 0 Nathaly's wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2024 | Cheminots 0-0 Nathaly's | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 2, 2023 | Nathaly's 0-0 Cheminots | Ligue 1 |
| Jun 4, 2023 | Cheminots 3-0 Nathaly's | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 6, 2022 | Nathaly's 1-1 Cheminots | Ligue 1 |
| May 27, 2022 | Nathaly's 0-0 Cheminots | Ligue 1 |
| Dec 12, 2021 | Cheminots 0-0 Nathaly's | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Cheminots vs Nathaly's on May 11, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Cheminots score 0.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Nathaly's score 0.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cheminots | 0.8 | 0.9 | 8 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Nathaly's | 0.8 | 1.5 | 4 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cheminots sit 12th in Ligue 1 (0 points from 1 match) and Nathaly's sit 5th (9 points from 8 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2024 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nathaly's | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 9 |
| 12 | Cheminots | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
A question about Cheminots vs Nathaly's?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cheminots vs Nathaly's?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cheminots the favourite at 43%, against 31% for a draw and 26% for Nathaly's.
- Where and when is Cheminots vs Nathaly's played?
- Cheminots vs Nathaly's is played on December 10, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Complexe Sportif de Pointe-Noire, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Dec 10, 2026AS PenarolvsKFA
- Dec 11, 2026Racing Club BrazzavilevsOtôho d'Oyo
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- Dec 12, 2026Inter ClubvsNouvelle Génération
- Dec 12, 2026JS TalangaïvsÉtoile du Congo
- Dec 13, 2026Jeunesse Unie de KintélévsRed Stars
- Dec 13, 2026CARA BrazzavillevsDiables Noirs