ASA Targu Mures vs Chindia Targoviste: prediction and stats
Liga IIRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC)Stadionul Trans-Sil, Târgu Mureş
The Footlab model makes ASA Targu Mures the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Chindia Targoviste. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ASA Targu Mures vs Chindia Targoviste?
A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate ASA Targu Mures (1,528) and Chindia Targoviste (1,624).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ASA Targu Mures have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Chindia Targoviste have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gloria Bistriţa(home) | 1-0 | Liga II |
| Aug 19, 2026 | FC Politehnica Timisoara(away) | 1-2 | Cupa României |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bihor Oradea(away) | 1-1 | Liga II |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Gheorgheni(away) | 2-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cetatea Suceava(home) | 0-2 | Liga II |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | CS Dinamo București(home) | 1-2 | Liga II |
| Aug 18, 2026 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea(away) | 1-1 | Cupa României |
| Aug 15, 2026 | CS Afumati(away) | 3-0 | Liga II |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Flacăra Moreni(away) | 2-1 | Cupa României |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Metaloglobus(home) | 3-1 | Liga II |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 ASA Targu Mures win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Chindia Targoviste win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2026 | ASA Targu Mures 0-2 Chindia Targoviste | Liga II |
| Mar 31, 2018 | Chindia Targoviste 3-0 ASA Targu Mures | Liga II |
| Sep 18, 2017 | ASA Targu Mures 0-0 Chindia Targoviste | Liga II |
Last archived meeting: ASA Targu Mures vs Chindia Targoviste on Mar 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
ASA Targu Mures score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Chindia Targoviste score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASA Targu Mures | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Chindia Targoviste | 1.3 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ASA Targu Mures sit 14th in Liga II (4 points from 4 matches) and Chindia Targoviste sit 9th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Chindia Targoviste | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 6 |
| 14 | ASA Targu Mures | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ASA Targu Mures vs Chindia Targoviste?
- The Footlab model makes ASA Targu Mures the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Chindia Targoviste.
- Where and when is ASA Targu Mures vs Chindia Targoviste played?
- ASA Targu Mures vs Chindia Targoviste is played on October 17, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC) at Stadionul Trans-Sil, in the Liga II.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026AFC HermannstadtvsMetalul Buzău
- Oct 17, 2026ConcordiavsViitorul Şelimbăr
- Oct 17, 2026CSM Ramnicu ValceavsFC Politehnica Timisoara
- Oct 17, 2026CSM ReşiţavsCetatea Suceava
- Oct 17, 2026Popești-LeordenivsCS Afumati
- Oct 17, 2026SlatinavsUnirea Slobozia
- Oct 17, 2026CSA Steaua BucureştivsMetaloglobus
- Oct 17, 2026DumbrăviţavsBihor Oradea