Match

ASA Targu Mures vs Chindia Targoviste: prediction and stats

Liga IIRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC)Stadionul Trans-Sil, Târgu Mureş

ASA Targu MuresChindia Targoviste

The Footlab model makes ASA Targu Mures the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Chindia Targoviste. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win ASA Targu Mures vs Chindia Targoviste?

A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate ASA Targu Mures (1,528) and Chindia Targoviste (1,624).

ASA Targu Mures win47 %
Draw27 %
Chindia Targoviste win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ASA Targu Mures have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Chindia Targoviste have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

ASA Targu Mures
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Gloria Bistriţa(home)1-0Liga II
Aug 19, 2026FC Politehnica Timisoara(away)1-2Cupa României
Aug 15, 2026Bihor Oradea(away)1-1Liga II
Aug 12, 2026Gheorgheni(away)2-0Cupa României
Aug 8, 2026Cetatea Suceava(home)0-2Liga II
Chindia Targoviste
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026CS Dinamo București(home)1-2Liga II
Aug 18, 2026CSM Ramnicu Valcea(away)1-1Cupa României
Aug 15, 2026CS Afumati(away)3-0Liga II
Aug 12, 2026Flacăra Moreni(away)2-1Cupa României
Aug 9, 2026Metaloglobus(home)3-1Liga II

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 0 ASA Targu Mures win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Chindia Targoviste win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 9, 2026ASA Targu Mures 0-2 Chindia TargovisteLiga II
Mar 31, 2018Chindia Targoviste 3-0 ASA Targu MuresLiga II
Sep 18, 2017ASA Targu Mures 0-0 Chindia TargovisteLiga II

Last archived meeting: ASA Targu Mures vs Chindia Targoviste on Mar 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

ASA Targu Mures score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Chindia Targoviste score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
ASA Targu Mures1.31.358/157/15
Chindia Targoviste1.31.4210/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

ASA Targu Mures sit 14th in Liga II (4 points from 4 matches) and Chindia Targoviste sit 9th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Chindia Targoviste4202746
14ASA Targu Mures4112354

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for ASA Targu Mures vs Chindia Targoviste?
The Footlab model makes ASA Targu Mures the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Chindia Targoviste.
Where and when is ASA Targu Mures vs Chindia Targoviste played?
ASA Targu Mures vs Chindia Targoviste is played on October 17, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC) at Stadionul Trans-Sil, in the Liga II.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: ASA Targu Mures and Chindia Targoviste

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