ASA Targu Mures vs AFC Hermannstadt: prediction and stats
Liga IIRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC)Stadionul Trans-Sil, Târgu Mureş
The Footlab model makes AFC Hermannstadt the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for ASA Targu Mures. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ASA Targu Mures vs AFC Hermannstadt?
AFC Hermannstadt starts as the favourite with a 145-point Elo edge (1,673 vs 1,528).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ASA Targu Mures have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; AFC Hermannstadt have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gloria Bistriţa(home) | 1-0 | Liga II |
| Aug 19, 2026 | FC Politehnica Timisoara(away) | 1-2 | Cupa României |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bihor Oradea(away) | 1-1 | Liga II |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Gheorgheni(away) | 2-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cetatea Suceava(home) | 0-2 | Liga II |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1, 2026 | FC Voluntari(away) | 0-3 | Liga I |
| May 24, 2026 | FC Voluntari(home) | 3-2 | Liga I |
| May 18, 2026 | FCSB(home) | 2-0 | Liga I |
| May 11, 2026 | Metaloglobus(away) | 2-2 | Liga I |
| May 4, 2026 | Unirea Slobozia(away) | 2-2 | Liga I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 ASA Targu Mures win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 AFC Hermannstadt win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2018 | AFC Hermannstadt 3-0 ASA Targu Mures | Liga II |
| Oct 17, 2017 | ASA Targu Mures 2-2 AFC Hermannstadt | Liga II |
Last archived meeting: AFC Hermannstadt vs ASA Targu Mures on Apr 25, 2018
How many goals should we expect?
ASA Targu Mures score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Hermannstadt score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASA Targu Mures | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| AFC Hermannstadt | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | ASA Targu Mures | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ASA Targu Mures vs AFC Hermannstadt?
- The Footlab model makes AFC Hermannstadt the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for ASA Targu Mures.
- Where and when is ASA Targu Mures vs AFC Hermannstadt played?
- ASA Targu Mures vs AFC Hermannstadt is played on November 28, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at Stadionul Trans-Sil, in the Liga II.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Nov 28, 2026MetaloglobusvsCetatea Suceava
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- Nov 28, 2026CS AfumativsCSM Reşiţa
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- Nov 28, 2026Unirea SloboziavsPopești-Leordeni
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