ASA Targu Mures vs Popești-Leordeni: prediction and stats
Liga IIRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC)Stadionul Trans-Sil, Târgu Mureş
The Footlab model makes Popești-Leordeni the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for ASA Targu Mures. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ASA Targu Mures vs Popești-Leordeni?
Popești-Leordeni starts as the favourite with a 164-point Elo edge (1,692 vs 1,528).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ASA Targu Mures have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Popești-Leordeni have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gloria Bistriţa(home) | 1-0 | Liga II |
| Aug 19, 2026 | FC Politehnica Timisoara(away) | 1-2 | Cupa României |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bihor Oradea(away) | 1-1 | Liga II |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Gheorgheni(away) | 2-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cetatea Suceava(home) | 0-2 | Liga II |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | CSM Reşiţa(home) | 4-1 | Liga II |
| Aug 19, 2026 | FC Bacau(home) | 0-3 | Cupa României |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dumbrăviţa(away) | 1-1 | Liga II |
| Aug 12, 2026 | CS Dinamo București(home) | 5-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Bacau(home) | 3-2 | Liga II |
How many goals should we expect?
ASA Targu Mures score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Popești-Leordeni score 2.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASA Targu Mures | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Popești-Leordeni | 2.4 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ASA Targu Mures sit 14th in Liga II (4 points from 4 matches) and Popești-Leordeni sit 5th (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Popești-Leordeni | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 8 |
| 14 | ASA Targu Mures | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ASA Targu Mures vs Popești-Leordeni?
- The Footlab model makes Popești-Leordeni the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for ASA Targu Mures.
- Where and when is ASA Targu Mures vs Popești-Leordeni played?
- ASA Targu Mures vs Popești-Leordeni is played on December 12, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at Stadionul Trans-Sil, in the Liga II.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 12, 2026AFC HermannstadtvsŞtefăneşti
- Dec 12, 2026ConcordiavsCSA Steaua Bucureşti
- Dec 12, 2026Chindia TargovistevsDumbrăviţa
- Dec 12, 2026MetaloglobusvsGloria Bistriţa
- Dec 12, 2026FC Politehnica TimisoaravsSlatina
- Dec 12, 2026CS AfumativsBihor Oradea
- Dec 12, 2026Metalul BuzăuvsCSM Reşiţa
- Dec 12, 2026Unirea SloboziavsCSM Ramnicu Valcea