Metalul Buzău vs CSM Reşiţa: prediction and stats
Liga IIRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC)Teren Sintetic Cornel Negoescu, Buzău
The Footlab model makes Metalul Buzău the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for CSM Reşiţa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Metalul Buzău vs CSM Reşiţa?
A very open match: only 68 Elo points separate Metalul Buzău (1,694) and CSM Reşiţa (1,626).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Metalul Buzău have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; CSM Reşiţa have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slatina(away) | 0-2 | Liga II |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Gloria Bistriţa(away) | 0-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 15, 2026 | CS Dinamo București(away) | 1-0 | Liga II |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Baicoi(away) | 4-2 | Cupa României |
| Aug 8, 2026 | CS Afumati(home) | 3-1 | Liga II |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Popești-Leordeni(away) | 1-4 | Liga II |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Petrolul Ploiesti(home) | 2-3 | Cupa României |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ştefăneşti(home) | 2-0 | Liga II |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Timişul Şag(away) | 3-1 | Cupa României |
| Aug 8, 2026 | CSM Satu Mare(away) | 2-0 | Liga II |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Metalul Buzău win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 CSM Reşiţa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2025 | CSM Reşiţa 2-0 Metalul Buzău | Liga II |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Metalul Buzău 0-2 CSM Reşiţa | Liga II |
Last archived meeting: CSM Reşiţa vs Metalul Buzău on Nov 30, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Metalul Buzău score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; CSM Reşiţa score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metalul Buzău | 1.9 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| CSM Reşiţa | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Metalul Buzău sit 8th in Liga II (7 points from 4 matches) and CSM Reşiţa sit 3rd (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | CSM Reşiţa | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 8 | Metalul Buzău | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Metalul Buzău vs CSM Reşiţa?
- The Footlab model makes Metalul Buzău the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for CSM Reşiţa.
- Where and when is Metalul Buzău vs CSM Reşiţa played?
- Metalul Buzău vs CSM Reşiţa is played on December 12, 2026 at 09:00 AM (UTC) at Teren Sintetic Cornel Negoescu, in the Liga II.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 12, 2026AFC HermannstadtvsŞtefăneşti
- Dec 12, 2026ConcordiavsCSA Steaua Bucureşti
- Dec 12, 2026Chindia TargovistevsDumbrăviţa
- Dec 12, 2026ASA Targu MuresvsPopești-Leordeni
- Dec 12, 2026MetaloglobusvsGloria Bistriţa
- Dec 12, 2026FC Politehnica TimisoaravsSlatina
- Dec 12, 2026CS AfumativsBihor Oradea
- Dec 12, 2026Unirea SloboziavsCSM Ramnicu Valcea