ASA vs Parana: result 1-1 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 18Kick-off on August 19, 2012 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estádio Municipal Coaracy da Mata Fonseca, Arapiraca, Alagoas
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What was the result of ASA vs Parana?
ASA and Parana drew 1-1 on August 19, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 17′Jose Roberto Nascimento VianaASA
- 62′Lúcio Flávio dos SantosParana
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ASA have 4 wins, 1 draws and 10 defeats; Parana have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2012 | Atletico Paranaense(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 11, 2012 | Guarani Campinas(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 4, 2012 | America Mineiro(home) | 3-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 1, 2012 | RB Bragantino(away) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Jul 25, 2012 | Goias(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2012 | Ipatinga(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 11, 2012 | CRB(home) | 4-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 5, 2012 | ABC(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Jul 31, 2012 | Avai(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 28, 2012 | Ceara(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
ASA score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Parana score 1.6 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASA | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Parana | 1.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy