Vitoria vs Joinville: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie BRegular Season - 18Kick-off on August 17, 2012 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Manoel Barradas, Salvador, Bahia
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What was the result of Vitoria vs Joinville?
Vitoria won 2-1 on August 17, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 14′WilliamVitoria
- 31′EltonVitoria
- 43′Ricardo de Souza SilvaJoinville (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vitoria have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Joinville have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2012 | Guaratinguetá(home) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 11, 2012 | America Mineiro(away) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 4, 2012 | RB Bragantino(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 1, 2012 | São Caetano(away) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Jul 28, 2012 | CRB(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2012 | RB Bragantino(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 11, 2012 | Guaratinguetá(away) | 3-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 4, 2012 | Criciuma(home) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Jul 31, 2012 | America Mineiro(away) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Jul 25, 2012 | America-RN(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Vitoria score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Joinville score 1.9 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitoria | 1.9 | 0.9 | 8 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Joinville | 1.9 | 0.7 | 9 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy