Aşgabat vs Ahal: result 1-4 and analysis
Ýokary LigaRegular Season - 7Kick-off on April 19, 2025 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Ahal Stadium, Abadan
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What was the result of Aşgabat vs Ahal?
Ahal won 1-4 on April 19, 2025.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aşgabat have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Ahal have 12, 0 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2025 | Nebitci(home) | 2-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(away) | 3-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Mar 14, 2025 | Merw(home) | 0-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Mar 10, 2025 | Şagadam(home) | 2-3 | Ýokary Liga |
| Mar 5, 2025 | Altyn Asyr(away) | 0-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2025 | Merw(home) | 3-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Apr 3, 2025 | Şagadam(away) | 2-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Altyn Asyr(home) | 0-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Mar 14, 2025 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(home) | 4-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Mar 4, 2025 | Nebitci(home) | 2-0 | Ýokary Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Aşgabat wins, 0 draws, 6 Ahal wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2024 | Aşgabat 1-2 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| Aug 16, 2024 | Ahal 3-0 Aşgabat | Ýokary Liga |
| May 22, 2024 | Aşgabat 1-2 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
| Apr 17, 2024 | Ahal 4-0 Aşgabat | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Ahal 2-1 Aşgabat | Ýokary Liga |
| Aug 23, 2023 | Aşgabat 0-4 Ahal | Ýokary Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Aşgabat score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ahal score 2.3 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aşgabat | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Ahal | 2.3 | 0.5 | 8 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aşgabat sit 7th in Ýokary Liga (15 points from 21 matches) and Ahal sit 3rd (42 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ahal | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 50 | 28 | 42 |
| 7 | Aşgabat | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 25 | 48 | 15 |
A question about Aşgabat vs Ahal?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy