Aşgabat vs Merw: result 2-1 and analysis
Ýokary LigaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on October 30, 2025 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Sportkompleks Gökje, Ashgabat
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What was the result of Aşgabat vs Merw?
Aşgabat won 2-1 on October 30, 2025.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aşgabat have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Merw have 1, 5 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2025 | Şagadam(away) | 1-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Ahal(home) | 1-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Altyn Asyr(home) | 0-5 | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 22, 2025 | Şagadam(home) | 0-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Nebitci(home) | 1-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2025 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(home) | 2-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Şagadam(away) | 0-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 22, 2025 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(away) | 0-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Ahal(away) | 0-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 11, 2025 | Arkadag(home) | 1-3 | Ýokary Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Aşgabat wins, 2 draws, 1 Merw win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2025 | Merw 1-2 Aşgabat | Ýokary Liga |
| May 9, 2025 | Merw 2-0 Aşgabat | Ýokary Liga |
| Mar 14, 2025 | Aşgabat 0-0 Merw | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 7, 2024 | Aşgabat 2-0 Merw | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 4, 2024 | Merw 1-1 Aşgabat | Ýokary Liga |
| May 4, 2024 | Merw 0-1 Aşgabat | Ýokary Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Aşgabat score 0.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Merw score 0.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aşgabat | 0.5 | 2.3 | 2 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Merw | 0.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aşgabat sit 7th in Ýokary Liga (15 points from 21 matches) and Merw sit 6th (18 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Merw | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 23 | 59 | 18 |
| 7 | Aşgabat | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 25 | 48 | 15 |
A question about Aşgabat vs Merw?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy