Aşgabat vs Merw: result 2-1 and analysis
Ýokary LigaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on October 30, 2025 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Sportkompleks Gökje, Ashgabat
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What was the result of Aşgabat vs Merw?
Aşgabat won 2-1 on October 30, 2025.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aşgabat have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Merw have 1, 5 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2025 | Şagadam(away) | 1-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Ahal(home) | 1-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Altyn Asyr(home) | 0-5 | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 22, 2025 | Şagadam(home) | 0-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Nebitci(home) | 1-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2025 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(home) | 2-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Şagadam(away) | 0-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 22, 2025 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(away) | 0-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Ahal(away) | 0-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 11, 2025 | Arkadag(home) | 1-3 | Ýokary Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Aşgabat win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Merw win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2025 | Merw 1-2 Aşgabat | Ýokary Liga |
| May 9, 2025 | Merw 2-0 Aşgabat | Ýokary Liga |
| Mar 14, 2025 | Aşgabat 0-0 Merw | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 7, 2024 | Aşgabat 2-0 Merw | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 4, 2024 | Merw 1-1 Aşgabat | Ýokary Liga |
| May 4, 2024 | Merw 0-1 Aşgabat | Ýokary Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Aşgabat score 0.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Merw score 0.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aşgabat | 0.5 | 2.3 | 2 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Merw | 0.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aşgabat sit 6th in Ýokary Liga (24 points from 28 matches) and Merw sit 8th (11 points from 28 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Aşgabat | 28 | 7 | 3 | 18 | 23 | 57 | 24 |
| 8 | Merw | 28 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 55 | 11 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy