Aşgabat vs Merw: result 3-1 and analysis
Ýokary LigaRegular Season - 3Kick-off on November 2, 2021 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Sportkompleks Gökje, Ashgabat
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What was the result of Aşgabat vs Merw?
Aşgabat won 3-1 on November 2, 2021.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aşgabat have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Merw have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2021 | Energetik(away) | 0-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 20, 2021 | Altyn Asyr(home) | 1-3 | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 28, 2020 | Ahal(away) | 2-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 25, 2020 | Altyn Asyr(home) | 0-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 21, 2020 | Nebitci(away) | 3-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2021 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(home) | 2-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Oct 25, 2021 | Şagadam(away) | 2-4 | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 28, 2020 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(home) | 2-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 25, 2020 | Nebitci(home) | 1-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 21, 2020 | Şagadam(home) | 1-2 | Ýokary Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Aşgabat win, 2 draws, 0 Merw wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2020 | Aşgabat 0-0 Merw | Ýokary Liga |
| May 27, 2020 | Aşgabat 1-1 Merw | Ýokary Liga |
| Apr 20, 2020 | Merw 0-1 Aşgabat | Ýokary Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Aşgabat score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Merw score 1.3 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aşgabat | 1.2 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Merw | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aşgabat sit 7th in Ýokary Liga (15 points from 21 matches) and Merw sit 6th (18 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Merw | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 23 | 59 | 18 |
| 7 | Aşgabat | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 25 | 48 | 15 |
A question about Aşgabat vs Merw?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy