Aşgabat vs Merw: result 2-1 and analysis
Ýokary LigaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on December 2, 2022 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Sportkompleks Gökje, Ashgabat
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What was the result of Aşgabat vs Merw?
Aşgabat won 2-1 on December 2, 2022.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aşgabat have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Merw have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2022 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(away) | 1-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 26, 2022 | Şagadam(home) | 1-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 18, 2022 | Ahal(home) | 0-3 | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 14, 2022 | Altyn Asyr(away) | 1-1 | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 8, 2022 | Nebitci(home) | 3-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2022 | Energetik(home) | 4-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 25, 2022 | Köpetdag Aşgabat(home) | 3-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 18, 2022 | Şagadam(home) | 1-0 | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 13, 2022 | Ahal(away) | 0-2 | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 9, 2022 | Altyn Asyr(home) | 1-1 | Ýokary Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Aşgabat win, 1 draw, 4 Merw wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2022 | Merw 2-1 Aşgabat | Ýokary Liga |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Aşgabat 1-2 Merw | Ýokary Liga |
| Aug 12, 2022 | Merw 2-1 Aşgabat | Ýokary Liga |
| Dec 3, 2021 | Merw 4-0 Aşgabat | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 2, 2021 | Aşgabat 3-1 Merw | Ýokary Liga |
| Nov 13, 2020 | Aşgabat 0-0 Merw | Ýokary Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Aşgabat score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Merw score 1.6 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aşgabat | 1.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Merw | 1.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aşgabat sit 7th in Ýokary Liga (15 points from 21 matches) and Merw sit 6th (18 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Merw | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 23 | 59 | 18 |
| 7 | Aşgabat | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 25 | 48 | 15 |
A question about Aşgabat vs Merw?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy