ASIL Lysi vs Iraklis Yerolakkou: prediction and stats
2. DivisionRegular Season - 3Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)AEK Arena - George Karapatakis, Larnaca
The Footlab model makes ASIL Lysi the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Iraklis Yerolakkou. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ASIL Lysi vs Iraklis Yerolakkou?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate ASIL Lysi (1,525) and Iraklis Yerolakkou (1,562).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ASIL Lysi have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Iraklis Yerolakkou have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Nea Salamis(away) | 1-4 | 2. Division |
| Apr 17, 2026 | MEAP Nisou(home) | 2-1 | 2. Division |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Karmiotissa(home) | 2-6 | 2. Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Ayia Napa(away) | 5-5 | 2. Division |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Omonia 29is Maiou(home) | 0-1 | 2. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Halkanoras(away) | 0-0 | 2. Division |
| Apr 21, 2026 | APEA(home) | 0-2 | 2. Division |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Digenis Morphou(away) | 0-1 | 2. Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | AE Zakakiou(home) | 4-1 | 2. Division |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Ethnikos Latsion(away) | 0-0 | 2. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 ASIL Lysi win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Iraklis Yerolakkou win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | Iraklis Yerolakkou 1-1 ASIL Lysi | 2. Division |
| Mar 12, 2023 | Iraklis Yerolakkou 0-3 ASIL Lysi | 3. Division |
| Jan 21, 2023 | ASIL Lysi 0-0 Iraklis Yerolakkou | 3. Division |
| Nov 6, 2022 | Iraklis Yerolakkou 0-2 ASIL Lysi | 3. Division |
Last archived meeting: Iraklis Yerolakkou vs ASIL Lysi on Nov 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
ASIL Lysi score 1.3 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Iraklis Yerolakkou score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASIL Lysi | 1.3 | 2.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Iraklis Yerolakkou | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ASIL Lysi sit 7th in 2. Division (31 points from 14 matches) and Iraklis Yerolakkou sit 13th (37 points from 14 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | ASIL Lysi | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 18 | 37 | 31 |
| 13 | Iraklis Yerolakkou | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ASIL Lysi vs Iraklis Yerolakkou?
- The Footlab model makes ASIL Lysi the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Iraklis Yerolakkou.
- Where and when is ASIL Lysi vs Iraklis Yerolakkou played?
- ASIL Lysi vs Iraklis Yerolakkou is played on October 9, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at AEK Arena - George Karapatakis, in the 2. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.