Anagennisi Deryneia vs Digenis Morphou: prediction and stats
2. DivisionRegular Season - 3Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Gipedo Anagennisi Deryneias, Derynias
The Footlab model makes Anagennisi Deryneia the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Digenis Morphou. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Anagennisi Deryneia vs Digenis Morphou?
Anagennisi Deryneia starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,703 vs 1,583).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Anagennisi Deryneia have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Digenis Morphou have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Anorthosis Mouttagiakas(home) | 1-1 | 3. Division |
| Apr 22, 2026 | AEN(away) | 4-1 | 3. Division |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Kedros Agia Marina(home) | 1-1 | 3. Division |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Ethnikos Assias(away) | 3-2 | 3. Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Ermis(home) | 3-3 | 3. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | AE Zakakiou(home) | 1-1 | 2. Division |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Ethnikos Latsion(away) | 1-2 | 2. Division |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Iraklis Yerolakkou(home) | 1-0 | 2. Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Spartakos Kitiou(away) | 0-3 | 2. Division |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Halkanoras(home) | 0-0 | 2. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Anagennisi Deryneia win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Digenis Morphou win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2024 | Anagennisi Deryneia 1-2 Digenis Morphou | 2. Division |
| Apr 10, 2021 | Digenis Morphou 1-2 Anagennisi Deryneia | 2. Division |
| Nov 7, 2020 | Anagennisi Deryneia 2-1 Digenis Morphou | 2. Division |
| Dec 14, 2019 | Digenis Morphou 0-2 Anagennisi Deryneia | 2. Division |
| Oct 19, 2019 | Anagennisi Deryneia 1-1 Digenis Morphou | 2. Division |
Last archived meeting: Anagennisi Deryneia vs Digenis Morphou on Nov 2, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Anagennisi Deryneia score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Digenis Morphou score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anagennisi Deryneia | 2.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Digenis Morphou | 1.3 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Digenis Morphou | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 20 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Anagennisi Deryneia vs Digenis Morphou?
- The Footlab model makes Anagennisi Deryneia the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Digenis Morphou.
- Where and when is Anagennisi Deryneia vs Digenis Morphou played?
- Anagennisi Deryneia vs Digenis Morphou is played on October 9, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Gipedo Anagennisi Deryneias, in the 2. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.