ASPAC vs Hodio: prediction and stats
Championnat NationalRegular Season - 4Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade de Toffo, Toffo
The Footlab model makes ASPAC the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Hodio. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ASPAC vs Hodio?
A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate ASPAC (1,828) and Hodio (1,741).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ASPAC have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Hodio have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | Cavaliers(home) | 1-1 | Championnat National |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Loto Popo(away) | 0-1 | Championnat National |
| Jun 6, 2026 | ASVO(home) | 2-0 | Championnat National |
| May 30, 2026 | Dynamo Abomey(away) | 2-1 | Championnat National |
| May 23, 2026 | Damissa(home) | 4-1 | Championnat National |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | Ayema(home) | 1-1 | Championnat National |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Espoir Savalou(away) | 1-2 | Championnat National |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Dynamo Abomey(home) | 0-1 | Championnat National |
| May 30, 2026 | Cavaliers(away) | 2-0 | Championnat National |
| May 22, 2026 | Dadjè(home) | 5-1 | Championnat National |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 ASPAC win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Hodio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Hodio 0-0 ASPAC | Championnat National |
| Dec 13, 2025 | ASPAC 5-1 Hodio | Championnat National |
How many goals should we expect?
ASPAC score 1.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Hodio score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASPAC | 1.5 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Hodio | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ASPAC sit 3rd in Championnat National (59 points from 33 matches) and Hodio sit 9th (44 points from 33 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | ASPAC | 33 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 46 | 22 | 59 |
| 9 | Hodio | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 36 | 31 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ASPAC vs Hodio?
- The Footlab model makes ASPAC the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Hodio.
- Where and when is ASPAC vs Hodio played?
- ASPAC vs Hodio is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de Toffo, in the Championnat National.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.