Asteras Stavros vs Fokikos: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 5Group 5 - 10Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Asteras Stavros the favourite at 58%, against 26% for a draw and 16% for Fokikos. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Asteras Stavros vs Fokikos?
Asteras Stavros starts as the favourite with a 173-point Elo edge (1,507 vs 1,334).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Asteras Stavros have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Fokikos have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | Elassona(away) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Tilikratis(home) | 2-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Aris Filiates(away) | 0-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Lamia(home) | 0-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Trikala(away) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2021 | Nea Artaki(away) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| May 16, 2021 | Diagoras Stefanovik(home) | 0-4 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| May 9, 2021 | Opountios(away) | 3-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Apr 25, 2021 | Amvrysseas(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Apr 18, 2021 | Almyros(away) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Asteras Stavros score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Fokikos score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asteras Stavros | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Fokikos | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Asteras Stavros vs Fokikos?
- The Footlab model makes Asteras Stavros the favourite at 58%, against 26% for a draw and 16% for Fokikos.
- Where and when is Asteras Stavros vs Fokikos played?
- Asteras Stavros vs Fokikos is played on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.