Asteras Varis vs Nea Ionia: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 9Group 9 - 9Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Athlitiko Kentro Varis, Vari
The Footlab AI model makes Asteras Varis the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Nea Ionia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Asteras Varis wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,566 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Asteras Varis vs Nea Ionia?
On Elo ratings, Asteras Varis has 1,679 points and Nea Ionia 1,595.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Asteras Varis vs Nea Ionia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Asteras Varis
Not enough data to predict the Asteras Varis lineup.
Nea Ionia
Not enough data to predict the Nea Ionia lineup.
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 10:38 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Asteras Varis have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Nea Ionia have 5, 0 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Acharnaikos(away) | 2-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Ethnikos Asteras(home) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Thyella Diastavroseos(away) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Saronikos Anavyssou(home) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ilioupoli(away) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Saronikos Anavyssou(away) | 2-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Ilisiakos(home) | 1-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Asteras Magoula(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Pannaxiakos(away) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Acharnaikos(home) | 4-0 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Asteras Varis wins, 0 draws, 2 Nea Ionia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2025 | Asteras Varis 1-2 Nea Ionia | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Nea Ionia 1-0 Asteras Varis | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Asteras Varis vs Nea Ionia on Feb 12, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Asteras Varis score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Nea Ionia score 1.0 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asteras Varis | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Nea Ionia | 1.0 | 1.4 | 4 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Asteras Varis sit 9th in Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 (1 point from 2 matches) and Nea Ionia sit 3rd (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nea Ionia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Asteras Varis | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
A question about Asteras Varis vs Nea Ionia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Asteras Varis vs Nea Ionia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Asteras Varis the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Nea Ionia.
- Where and when is Asteras Varis vs Nea Ionia played?
- Asteras Varis vs Nea Ionia is played on November 22, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Athlitiko Kentro Varis, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.