Ilioupoli vs Asteras Kaisarianis: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 9Group 9 - 9Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Ilioupolis, Athens
The Footlab AI model makes Ilioupoli the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Asteras Kaisarianis. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ilioupoli wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ilioupoli vs Asteras Kaisarianis?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Ilioupoli (1,571) and Asteras Kaisarianis (1,586).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ilioupoli vs Asteras Kaisarianis
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ilioupoli
4-3-3- 21F. Miya
- 19E. Sam
- 7Georgios Lleshaj
- 28G. Neofytidis
- 30Aleksey Chayka
- 18Dimitrios Thomaidis
- 5M. Bougaidis
- 3Vangelis Keramidas
- 32G. Maidanos
- 69Sotirios Katsioulas
- 33Georgios Christodoulis
Asteras Kaisarianis
Not enough data to predict the Asteras Kaisarianis lineup.
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 02:32 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ilioupoli have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Asteras Kaisarianis have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Asteras Varis(home) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Egaleo(home) | 1-3 | Super League 2 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Kissamikos(away) | 0-1 | Super League 2 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Ellas Syros(home) | 0-2 | Super League 2 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Kallithea(home) | 0-2 | Super League 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Asteras Magoula(away) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Pannaxiakos(home) | 2-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Afantou(away) | 1-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Diagoras(home) | 4-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Karystos(away) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
How many goals should we expect?
Ilioupoli score 0.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Asteras Kaisarianis score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilioupoli | 0.7 | 1.1 | 3 | 6/15 | 1/15 |
| Asteras Kaisarianis | 1.1 | 1.4 | 2 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ilioupoli sit 8th in Gamma Ethniki - Group 9 (1 point from 1 match) and Asteras Kaisarianis sit 10th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Ilioupoli | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Asteras Kaisarianis | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
A question about Ilioupoli vs Asteras Kaisarianis?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ilioupoli vs Asteras Kaisarianis?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ilioupoli the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Asteras Kaisarianis.
- Where and when is Ilioupoli vs Asteras Kaisarianis played?
- Ilioupoli vs Asteras Kaisarianis is played on November 22, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Ilioupolis, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.