Match

Aston Villa U21 vs Manchester United U21: prediction and stats

Premier League 2 Division OneRegular SeasonKick-off on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Bodymoor Heath Training Ground, Bodymoor Heath, Warwickshire

Aston Villa U21Manchester United U21

The Footlab model makes Manchester United U21 the favourite at 54%, against 21% for a draw and 25% for Aston Villa U21. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Aston Villa U21 vs Manchester United U21?

Manchester United U21 starts as the favourite with a 206-point Elo edge (1,915 vs 1,709).

Aston Villa U21 win25 %
Draw21 %
Manchester United U21 win54 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aston Villa U21 have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Manchester United U21 have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Aston Villa U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Brighton U21(home)2-1Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026Wigan(away)2-3EFL Trophy
Jul 21, 2026Tamworth(away)2-1Friendlies Clubs
May 1, 2026Manchester City U21(home)2-3Premier League 2 Division One
Apr 24, 2026Southampton U21(away)3-3Premier League 2 Division One
Manchester United U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Ipswich Town U21(home)5-0Premier League 2 Division One
Jul 31, 2026Altrincham(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026Brighton U21(away)0-1Premier League 2 Division One
May 8, 2026Manchester City U21(away)4-3Premier League 2 Division One
May 4, 2026Crystal Palace U21(away)2-0Premier League 2 Division One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Aston Villa U21 win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Manchester United U21 win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 18, 2025Manchester United U21 2-1 Aston Villa U21Premier League 2 Division One

Last archived meeting: Manchester United U21 vs Aston Villa U21 on Jan 18, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Aston Villa U21 score 1.9 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Manchester United U21 score 1.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Aston Villa U211.92.0211/1511/15
Manchester United U211.91.439/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Aston Villa U21 sit 9th in Premier League 2 Division One (3 points from 1 matches) and Manchester United U21 sit 1st (3 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Manchester United U211100503
9Aston Villa U211100213

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Aston Villa U21 vs Manchester United U21?
The Footlab model makes Manchester United U21 the favourite at 54%, against 21% for a draw and 25% for Aston Villa U21.
Where and when is Aston Villa U21 vs Manchester United U21 played?
Aston Villa U21 vs Manchester United U21 is played on December 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Bodymoor Heath Training Ground, in the Premier League 2 Division One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Aston Villa U21 and Manchester United U21

Ready to know everything about football?