Where and when is Aston Villa U21 vs Borussia Dortmund II played?

Aston Villa U21 vs Borussia Dortmund II is played on December 15, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Bodymoor Heath Training Ground, in the Premier League International Cup.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Aston Villa U21 vs Borussia Dortmund II: prediction and stats

Premier League International CupGroup StageKick-off on December 15, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Bodymoor Heath Training Ground, Bodymoor Heath, Warwickshire

Aston Villa U21

Borussia Dortmund II

The Footlab model makes Borussia Dortmund II the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for Aston Villa U21. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Aston Villa U21 vs Borussia Dortmund II?

Borussia Dortmund II starts as the favourite with a 258-point Elo edge (1,967 vs 1,709).

Aston Villa U21 win16 %

Draw19 %

Borussia Dortmund II win66 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aston Villa U21 have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Borussia Dortmund II have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Aston Villa U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Brighton U21(home)	2-1	Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026	Wigan(away)	2-3	EFL Trophy
Jul 21, 2026	Tamworth(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 1, 2026	Manchester City U21(home)	2-3	Premier League 2 Division One
Apr 24, 2026	Southampton U21(away)	3-3	Premier League 2 Division One

Borussia Dortmund II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 14, 2026	Bergisch Gladbach(away)	3-1	Regionalliga - West
Aug 7, 2026	Köln II(home)	1-1	Regionalliga - West
Aug 1, 2026	Bochum II(away)	1-1	Regionalliga - West
Jul 26, 2026	Jong Utrecht(home)	5-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 14, 2026	Dordrecht(away)	1-4	Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Aston Villa U21 score 1.9 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Borussia Dortmund II score 1.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Aston Villa U21	1.9	2.0	2	11/15	11/15
Borussia Dortmund II	1.6	1.4	2	10/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Aston Villa U21 vs Borussia Dortmund II?: The Footlab model makes Borussia Dortmund II the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for Aston Villa U21.
Where and when is Aston Villa U21 vs Borussia Dortmund II played?: Aston Villa U21 vs Borussia Dortmund II is played on December 15, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Bodymoor Heath Training Ground, in the Premier League International Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.