Aston Villa vs Bournemouth: result 2-1 and analysis
FA Cup4th RoundKick-off on January 25, 2015 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Villa Park, Birmingham
Full time
What was the result of Aston Villa vs Bournemouth?
Aston Villa won 2-1 on January 25, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 51′Carles GilAston Villa
- 71′A. WeimannAston Villa
- 90′C. WilsonBournemouth
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aston Villa have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Bournemouth have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2015 | Liverpool(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Jan 10, 2015 | Leicester(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Jan 4, 2015 | Blackpool(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Jan 1, 2015 | Crystal Palace(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Dec 28, 2014 | Sunderland(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2015 | Leeds(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Jan 17, 2015 | Rotherham(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Jan 10, 2015 | Norwich(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Jan 3, 2015 | Rotherham(away) | 5-1 | FA Cup |
| Dec 28, 2014 | Millwall(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Aston Villa score 0.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bournemouth score 2.3 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 0.5 | 0.9 | 5 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
| Bournemouth | 2.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy