Aston Villa vs Hereford United: result 2-0 and analysis
League Cup2nd RoundKick-off on August 23, 2011 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Villa Park, Birmingham
Full time
What was the result of Aston Villa vs Hereford United?
Aston Villa won 2-0 on August 23, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 80′E. LichajAston Villa
- 88′N. DelfounesoAston Villa
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aston Villa have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Hereford United have 1, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2011 | Blackburn(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 13, 2011 | Fulham(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 22, 2011 | Liverpool(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| May 15, 2011 | Arsenal(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| May 7, 2011 | Wigan(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2011 | AFC Wimbledon(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Aug 16, 2011 | Macclesfield(home) | 0-4 | League Two |
| Aug 13, 2011 | Morecambe(home) | 0-3 | League Two |
| Aug 9, 2011 | Brentford(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Aug 6, 2011 | Southend(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Aston Villa score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hereford United score 0.4 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 1.5 | 1.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Hereford United | 0.4 | 1.8 | 1 | 1/5 | 2/5 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy