ASV Neumarkt vs Fortuna Regensburg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern NordBayern Nord - 23Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion am Deininger Weg, Neumarkt in der Oberpfalz
The Footlab model makes ASV Neumarkt the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Fortuna Regensburg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ASV Neumarkt vs Fortuna Regensburg?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate ASV Neumarkt (1,707) and Fortuna Regensburg (1,777).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ASV Neumarkt have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Fortuna Regensburg have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stadeln(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Fortuna Regensburg(away) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Weiden(home) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bayern Hof(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Kornburg(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Kornburg(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | ASV Neumarkt(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ammerthal(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | DJK Bamberg(home) | 5-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Cham(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 ASV Neumarkt win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Fortuna Regensburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Fortuna Regensburg 4-1 ASV Neumarkt | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Nov 8, 2025 | ASV Neumarkt 0-0 Fortuna Regensburg | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Jul 22, 2025 | Fortuna Regensburg 3-1 ASV Neumarkt | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Fortuna Regensburg 3-2 ASV Neumarkt | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Sep 7, 2024 | ASV Neumarkt 0-2 Fortuna Regensburg | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Mar 9, 2024 | ASV Neumarkt 3-2 Fortuna Regensburg | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
Last archived meeting: Fortuna Regensburg vs ASV Neumarkt on Aug 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
ASV Neumarkt score 1.3 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Fortuna Regensburg score 2.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASV Neumarkt | 1.3 | 2.0 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Fortuna Regensburg | 2.1 | 1.8 | 0 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ASV Neumarkt sit 3rd in Oberliga - Bayern Nord (59 points from 32 matches) and Fortuna Regensburg sit 8th (45 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | ASV Neumarkt | 32 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 68 | 50 | 59 |
| 8 | Fortuna Regensburg | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 66 | 58 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ASV Neumarkt vs Fortuna Regensburg?
- The Footlab model makes ASV Neumarkt the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Fortuna Regensburg.
- Where and when is ASV Neumarkt vs Fortuna Regensburg played?
- ASV Neumarkt vs Fortuna Regensburg is played on March 13, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion am Deininger Weg, in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.