Kornburg vs Weiden: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern NordBayern Nord - 23Kick-off on March 12, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Sportanlage TSV Kornburg, Nürnberg
The Footlab model makes Kornburg the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Weiden. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kornburg vs Weiden?
A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Kornburg (1,761) and Weiden (1,742).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kornburg have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Weiden have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Fortuna Regensburg(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Weiden(away) | 7-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Bayern Hof(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Großbardorf(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | ASV Neumarkt(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bayern Hof(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Kornburg(home) | 2-7 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 15, 2026 | ASV Neumarkt(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Ammerthal(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | DJK Bamberg(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Kornburg win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Weiden win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Weiden 2-7 Kornburg | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| May 2, 2026 | Kornburg 1-1 Weiden | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Weiden 2-2 Kornburg | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Mar 14, 2025 | Weiden 1-1 Kornburg | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 23, 2024 | Kornburg 0-2 Weiden | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Mar 4, 2023 | Weiden 1-2 Kornburg | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
How many goals should we expect?
Kornburg score 1.4 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Weiden score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kornburg | 1.4 | 2.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Weiden | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kornburg sit 12th in Oberliga - Bayern Nord (40 points from 32 matches) and Weiden sit 6th (50 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Weiden | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 57 | 39 | 50 |
| 12 | Kornburg | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 48 | 49 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kornburg vs Weiden?
- The Footlab model makes Kornburg the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Weiden.
- Where and when is Kornburg vs Weiden played?
- Kornburg vs Weiden is played on March 12, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Sportanlage TSV Kornburg, in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 12, 2027ChamvsJahn Regensburg II
- Mar 12, 2027NeudrossenfeldvsWürzburger FV
- Mar 12, 2027DJK BambergvsGebenbach
- Mar 13, 2027ASV NeumarktvsFortuna Regensburg
- Mar 13, 2027Eintracht BambergvsViktoria Aschaffenburg
- Mar 13, 2027Ingolstadt IIvsNordlingen
- Mar 13, 2027GroßbardorfvsBayern Hof
- Mar 14, 2027AmmerthalvsStadeln