Atalanta II vs Ostia Mare: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 34Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale, Caravaggio
The Footlab model makes Atalanta II the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Ostia Mare. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atalanta II vs Ostia Mare?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Atalanta II (1,793) and Ostia Mare (1,815).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atalanta II have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Ostia Mare have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Vado(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cittadella(away) | 2-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lecco(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Casertana(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Catania(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Perugia(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Latina(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Lazio(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Benevento(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 13, 2026 | Grosseto(away) | 3-2 | Serie D - Championship Round |
How many goals should we expect?
Atalanta II score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Ostia Mare score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta II | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Ostia Mare | 1.2 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atalanta II sit 19th in Serie C - Girone B (0 points from 1 matches) and Ostia Mare sit 16th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Ostia Mare | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 | Atalanta II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atalanta II vs Ostia Mare?
- The Footlab model makes Atalanta II the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Ostia Mare.
- Where and when is Atalanta II vs Ostia Mare played?
- Atalanta II vs Ostia Mare is played on March 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.