Match

Perugia vs Sambenedettese: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 34Kick-off on March 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Renato Curi, Perugia

PerugiaSambenedettese

The Footlab AI model makes Perugia the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Sambenedettese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Perugia wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,810 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Perugia vs Sambenedettese?

A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Perugia (1,802) and Sambenedettese (1,788).

46%27%27%
Perugia winDrawSambenedettese win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Perugia vs Sambenedettese

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Perugia

4-3-3
  1. 9A. Sabbatani
  2. 90E. Vergani
  3. 10L. Canotto
  1. 8R. Ladinetti
  2. 33C. Langella
  3. 30P. van Amersfoort
  1. 4A. Tozzuolo
  2. 28D. Riccardi
  3. 11M. Borsoi
  4. 5F. Brekalo
  1. 1R. Żelezny

Sambenedettese

3-5-2
  1. 9L. Sgarbi
  2. 93S. Magnaghi
  1. 6M. Piccoli
  2. 30S. Nicoli
  3. 37M. Toure
  4. 18K. Candellori
  5. 8G. Tunjov
  1. 17L. Pezzola
  2. 4A. Zini
  3. 29A. Camigliano
  1. 12T. Krapikas

Computed on October 19, 2026 at 06:26 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Perugia have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Sambenedettese have 3, 6 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Perugia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Campobasso FC(away)5-1Serie C - Girone B
Oct 11, 2026Vado(home)0-2Serie C - Girone B
Oct 3, 2026Gubbio(away)3-1Serie C - Girone B
Sep 27, 2026Reggiana(home)1-0Serie C - Girone B
Sep 20, 2026Grosseto(away)0-2Serie C - Girone B
Sambenedettese
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Vado(away)2-2Serie C - Girone B
Oct 11, 2026Latina(home)1-1Serie C - Girone B
Oct 3, 2026Grosseto(away)3-1Serie C - Girone B
Sep 26, 2026Campobasso FC(home)1-2Serie C - Girone B
Sep 21, 2026Pianese(away)1-1Serie C - Girone B

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Perugia win, 2 draws, 1 Sambenedettese win.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 8, 2026Sambenedettese 0-1 PerugiaSerie C - Girone B
Sep 23, 2025Perugia 1-2 SambenedetteseSerie C - Girone B
Mar 2, 2021Perugia 1-1 SambenedetteseSerie C - Girone B
Nov 8, 2020Sambenedettese 1-1 PerugiaSerie C - Girone B

Last archived meeting: Sambenedettese vs Perugia on Feb 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Perugia score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sambenedettese score 1.4 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Perugia1.31.528/159/15
Sambenedettese1.41.8112/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Perugia sit 7th in Serie C - Girone B (16 points from 10 matches) and Sambenedettese sit 18th (7 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Perugia10514141516
18Sambenedettese1014514177

A question about Perugia vs Sambenedettese?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Perugia vs Sambenedettese?
The Footlab AI model makes Perugia the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Sambenedettese.
Where and when is Perugia vs Sambenedettese played?
Perugia vs Sambenedettese is played on March 27, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Renato Curi, in the Serie C - Girone B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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