Atenas vs Cerro: result 3-1 and analysis
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 19, 2014 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel, Maldonado
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What was the result of Atenas vs Cerro?
Atenas won 3-1 on October 19, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 5′Ángel Santiago Barboza ManzziAtenas
- 12′L. SosaAtenas
- 30′Mario Ignacio Regueiro PintosCerro
- 61′M. AcostaAtenas
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atenas have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Cerro have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2014 | Penarol(away) | 1-4 | Primera División |
| Oct 5, 2014 | Fenix(home) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Sep 28, 2014 | Rentistas(away) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Sep 21, 2014 | Club Nacional(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Sep 13, 2014 | Rampla Juniors(away) | 2-4 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2014 | Danubio(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 5, 2014 | CA River Plate(away) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Sep 27, 2014 | El Tanque Sisley(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Sep 20, 2014 | SUD America(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Sep 14, 2014 | Defensor Sporting(home) | 0-3 | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Atenas score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Cerro score 1.0 and concede 2.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atenas | 1.7 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Cerro | 1.0 | 2.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cerro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 9 |
| 13 | Cerro | 62 | 19 | 15 | 28 | 50 | 81 | 71 |
| 14 | Cerro | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 39 | 25 |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy