Atlas vs Necaxa: result 3-2 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 11Kick-off on September 27, 2025 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara
Full time
What was the result of Atlas vs Necaxa?
Atlas won 3-2 on September 27, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 9′M. GarcíaAtlas
- 17′T. JacobNecaxa
- 30′U. ĐurđevićAtlas
- 57′D. CambindoNecaxa
- 90′D. GonzálezAtlas (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlas have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Necaxa have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2025 | Tigres UANL(away) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Mazatlán(away) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Santos Laguna(home) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| Aug 31, 2025 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Club America(home) | 2-4 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2025 | Guadalajara Chivas(away) | 1-3 | Liga MX |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Puebla(home) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Sep 13, 2025 | FC Juarez(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 1, 2025 | Club Tijuana(away) | 0-3 | Liga MX |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Monterrey(away) | 0-3 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Atlas win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Necaxa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2025 | Atlas 0-4 Necaxa | Liga MX |
| Dec 23, 2024 | Atlas 1-2 Necaxa | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Necaxa 0-0 Atlas | Liga MX |
| Jan 15, 2024 | Necaxa 2-1 Atlas | Liga MX |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Atlas 0-0 Necaxa | Liga MX |
| Apr 22, 2023 | Necaxa 1-3 Atlas | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Atlas score 1.4 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Necaxa score 1.1 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlas | 1.4 | 2.3 | 0 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Necaxa | 1.1 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atlas sit 9th in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Necaxa sit 8th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Atlas | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 12 |
| 8 | Necaxa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 9 | Atlas | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 11 | Necaxa | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy