Toluca vs Mazatlán: result 3-1 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 11Kick-off on September 28, 2025 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
Full time
What was the result of Toluca vs Mazatlán?
Toluca won 3-1 on September 28, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 25′H. HerreraToluca
- 49′B. MéndezToluca
- 89′PaulinhoToluca (pen.)
- 90′N. BenedettiMazatlán
Official lineup for Toluca vs Mazatlán
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Toluca
4-2-3-1- 31R. Morales
- 9A. Vega
- 8N. Castro
- 10J. Angulo
- 16H. Herrera
- 24F. Arce
- 17M. Isaís
- 4B. Méndez
- 3A. Briseño
- 19S. Simón
- 1H. González
Mazatlán
3-5-1-1- 9A. Duarte
- 10N. Benedetti
- 14M. Zaleta
- 23J. Sierra
- 16J. Esquivel
- 11Y. Bárcenas
- 199I. Gonzalez
- 19L. Merolla
- 5F. Almada
- 15B. Colula
- 1R. Gutiérrez
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Mazatlán have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2025 | Monterrey(home) | 6-2 | Liga MX |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Guadalajara Chivas(away) | 3-0 | Liga MX |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Puebla(home) | 3-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Atletico San Luis(away) | 3-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Cruz Azul(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2025 | Leon(away) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Atlas(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 13, 2025 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home) | 1-4 | Liga MX |
| Aug 30, 2025 | FC Juarez(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Tigres UANL(home) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Toluca wins, 0 draws, 2 Mazatlán wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | Mazatlán 2-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Jan 5, 2025 | Mazatlán 1-3 Toluca | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2024 | Toluca 3-0 Mazatlán | Liga MX |
| Jan 20, 2024 | Toluca 4-1 Mazatlán | Liga MX |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Mazatlán 1-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Mar 12, 2023 | Toluca 4-1 Mazatlán | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 2.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Mazatlán score 1.0 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 2.5 | 1.2 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Mazatlán | 1.0 | 1.8 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Toluca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 20 |
A question about Toluca vs Mazatlán?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy