Atlas vs Toluca: result 2-3 and analysis
Liga MXClausura - 15Kick-off on April 13, 2025 at 01:05 AM (UTC)Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara
Full time
What was the result of Atlas vs Toluca?
Toluca won 2-3 on April 13, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 15′PaulinhoToluca
- 24′PaulinhoToluca
- 30′E. AguirreAtlas
- 45′E. AguirreAtlas
- 77′PaulinhoToluca
Official lineup for Atlas vs Toluca
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Atlas
3-5-2- 19E. Aguirre
- 32U. Đurđević
- 17J. Lozano
- 26A. Rocha
- 18J. Márquez
- 20D. González
- 13G. Aguirre
- 5Dória
- 2M. Nervo
- 23C. Orrantía
- 12C. Vargas
Toluca
4-2-3-1- 26Paulinho
- 9A. Vega
- 10J. Angulo
- 7J. Domínguez
- 16H. Herrera
- 14M. Ruiz
- 12I. Violante
- 25E. López
- 6F. Pereira
- 4B. Méndez
- 22L. García
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlas have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Toluca have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | FC Juarez(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Mazatlán(away) | 2-3 | Liga MX |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Club America(home) | 1-3 | Liga MX |
| Mar 10, 2025 | Club Tijuana(away) | 4-3 | Liga MX |
| Mar 3, 2025 | Atletico San Luis(home) | 3-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2025 | Santos Laguna(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Mar 29, 2025 | CF Pachuca(home) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Puebla(away) | 3-0 | Liga MX |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Necaxa(home) | 5-2 | Liga MX |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Club America(away) | 0-3 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Atlas win, 2 draws, 3 Toluca wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2024 | Toluca 4-1 Atlas | Liga MX |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Toluca 4-1 Atlas | Liga MX |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Atlas 0-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Feb 2, 2023 | Atlas 0-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Jul 10, 2022 | Toluca 3-2 Atlas | Liga MX |
| Apr 24, 2022 | Toluca 2-4 Atlas | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Atlas score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Toluca score 2.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlas | 1.4 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Toluca | 2.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atlas sit 6th in Liga MX (18 points from 11 matches) and Toluca sit 2nd (20 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Toluca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 20 |
| 6 | Atlas | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 18 | 18 |
A question about Atlas vs Toluca?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy