Atlas vs Toluca: result 2-3 and analysis
Liga MXClausura - 15Kick-off on April 13, 2025 at 01:05 AM (UTC)Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara
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What was the result of Atlas vs Toluca?
Toluca won 2-3 on April 13, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 15′PaulinhoToluca
- 24′PaulinhoToluca
- 30′E. AguirreAtlas
- 45′E. AguirreAtlas
- 77′PaulinhoToluca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlas have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Toluca have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | FC Juarez(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Mazatlán(away) | 2-3 | Liga MX |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Club America(home) | 1-3 | Liga MX |
| Mar 10, 2025 | Club Tijuana(away) | 4-3 | Liga MX |
| Mar 3, 2025 | Atletico San Luis(home) | 3-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2025 | Santos Laguna(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Mar 29, 2025 | CF Pachuca(home) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Puebla(away) | 3-0 | Liga MX |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Necaxa(home) | 5-2 | Liga MX |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Club America(away) | 0-3 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Atlas win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Toluca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2024 | Toluca 4-1 Atlas | Liga MX |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Toluca 4-1 Atlas | Liga MX |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Atlas 0-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Feb 2, 2023 | Atlas 0-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Jul 10, 2022 | Toluca 3-2 Atlas | Liga MX |
| Apr 24, 2022 | Toluca 2-4 Atlas | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Atlas score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Toluca score 2.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlas | 1.4 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Toluca | 2.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atlas sit 9th in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Toluca sit 3rd (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Atlas | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 12 |
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Atlas | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy