Toluca vs Atlas: result 4-1 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 10Kick-off on September 28, 2024 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
Full time
What was the result of Toluca vs Atlas?
Toluca won 4-1 on September 28, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 33′PaulinhoToluca
- 40′HelinhoToluca
- 54′I. ViolanteToluca
- 61′I. ViolanteToluca
- 78′A. RochaAtlas
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Atlas have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2024 | Santos Laguna(away) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| Sep 18, 2024 | CF Pachuca(away) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Club Tijuana(home) | 4-0 | Liga MX |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Monterrey(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Atletico San Luis(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2024 | Club Queretaro(home) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 18, 2024 | Club America(away) | 0-3 | Liga MX |
| Sep 14, 2024 | CF Pachuca(home) | 2-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Atletico San Luis(away) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Aug 25, 2024 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Toluca win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Atlas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2024 | Toluca 4-1 Atlas | Liga MX |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Atlas 0-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Feb 2, 2023 | Atlas 0-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Jul 10, 2022 | Toluca 3-2 Atlas | Liga MX |
| Apr 24, 2022 | Toluca 2-4 Atlas | Liga MX |
| Aug 21, 2021 | Atlas 0-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Atlas score 1.2 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Atlas | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 3rd in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Atlas sit 9th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Atlas | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 12 |
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Atlas | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy