Atlético Baleares vs Ucam Murcia: result 1-4 and analysis
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 · Matchday 3Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 09:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Balear, Palma de Mallorca, Illes Balears
Full time
What was the result of Atlético Baleares vs Ucam Murcia?
Ucam Murcia won 1-4 on September 20, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 8′Dani AquinoUcam Murcia
- 45′Alberto SotoUcam Murcia
- 59′Aitor PuñalUcam Murcia
- 61′Raúl CaballeroAtlético Baleares
- 73′José Ángel CarrilloUcam Murcia (pen.)
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Atlético Baleares win at 52%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-0. Actual score: 1-4.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Baleares have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Ucam Murcia have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Intercity(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Yeclano(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | SS Reyes(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Real Madrid II(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mallorca II(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Valencia II(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Castellonense(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| May 3, 2026 | Xerez(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Real Jaén(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | La Unión Atlético(away) | 1-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Atlético Baleares win, 1 draw, 0 Ucam Murcia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2022 | Ucam Murcia 1-1 Atlético Baleares | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 21, 2021 | Atlético Baleares 3-0 Ucam Murcia | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
Last archived meeting: Ucam Murcia vs Atlético Baleares on May 15, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético Baleares score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ucam Murcia score 1.3 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Baleares | 1.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Ucam Murcia | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atlético Baleares sit 10th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (13 points from 10 matches) and Ucam Murcia sit 3rd (19 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ucam Murcia | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 19 |
| 10 | Atlético Baleares | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 13 |
A question about Atlético Baleares vs Ucam Murcia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy